DST 14

Buffalo Bills

DST · BUF

6.7PPG

−0.1VOR

WEEK 4DST 7 · vs NE8.2PROJ

Opponent implied total24th of 3220.8

Implied team total1st of 3227.8

Defensive TDs (trailing)9th of 320.00

Days of rest4th of 327

Points allowed per game (trailing)11th of 3226.0

What the model weighed, strongest influence on this projection first (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position's published week-4 rows; on yes/no rows the count is how many of them share that answer. Stats that depend on scoring are shown in PPR.

2026 season

Opponent giveaway rate (schedule)24th of 321.11/gm

Opponent play volume (schedule)30th of 3262.4

Own offense rush efficiency (last season)2nd of 32+0.026 EPA/play

Best 3-game stretch (most recent season)18th of 3210.3

New head coach25 of 32No

Safeties (last season)20 of 320

Defensive plays faced per game (last season)32nd of 3258.0

Worst 3-game stretch (most recent season)5th of 324.0

Two-season points per game8th of 327.1

Own offense success rate (last season)2nd of 3248.7%

Own offense giveaways per game (last season)15th of 321.21

Last season points per game14th of 326.5

Defensive touchdowns (last season)7th of 323

Defensive success rate (last season)20th of 3243.2%

Own offense sacks allowed per game (last season)14th of 322.32

What the model weighed, strongest influence on this projection first (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position's published modelled players; on yes/no rows the count is how many of them share that answer. Stats that depend on scoring are shown in PPR.