WR 89

Christian Kirk

WR · SF · AGE 30

5.6PPG · HALF

−3.8VOR

What the model looked at

BULLISH

Seasons of experience8▲

Games played (last season)95th of 11411▲

Target share (last season)65th of 11414.6%▲

Team pass-rate over expected38th of 114-0.312▲

Team pass efficiency (last season)34th of 114+0.171 EPA/play▲

On rookie contractNo▲

Draft capitalRound 2, pick 47▲

Season ended early (last year)No▲

Worst 3-game stretch (last season)68th of 1142.2▲

Two-season points per game78th of 1145.6▲

NEUTRAL

Opportunity share (WOPR, last season)78th of 1140.30–

Carries per game (last season)62nd of 1140.0–

Snap share (last season)83rd of 11448.6%–

BEARISH

Age30▼

Changed teamsYes▼

Change in team pass efficiency7th of 114+0.085 EPA/play▼

New target competition arriving9th of 11464.3%▼

Best 3-game stretch (last season)99th of 1146.7▼

Final 3 games (last season)99th of 1142.2▼

New head coachNo▼

New starting quarterbackNo▼

Change in team play volume107th of 114-2.6▼

Week-to-week volatility (last season)85th of 1144.1▼

Year-over-year scoring swing34th of 933.2▼

Late-season snap trend65th of 114-0.0▼

▲ bullish · ▼ bearish for this projection, per the model — strongest influence first within each group (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position’s published modelled players; stats that depend on scoring are shown in Half-PPR.