RB 3E25

Christian McCaffrey

RB · SF · AGE 30

19.9PPG · PPR
+8.5VOR
WEEK 4RB 6 · vs DEN19.5PROJ
Points per game (last season)1st of 5524.5
Practice status this week (0 full – 2 DNP)1st of 602
Season-to-date PPG (PPR)6th of 5819.3
Targets per game (trailing)3rd of 585.7
Carries per game (trailing)25th of 5811.7
Rushing yards per game (trailing)22nd of 5855.3
Implied team total13th of 6025.2
Opportunity share (WOPR, last season)1st of 550.40
Receiving yards per game (trailing)6th of 5834.7
Target share (trailing)2nd of 5820.6%
Games played this season1st of 603
Played last week56 of 60Yes
Trailing PPG (standard)8th of 5815.0
Time to line of scrimmage (NGS, trailing)37th of 372.44
Division game45 of 60No
Home game32 of 60Yes
Rushes beating expectation (NGS, trailing)12th of 3745.6%
Runs into stacked boxes (NGS, trailing)17th of 3720.0%
Total rushing EPA per game (trailing)9th of 56+0.6
Air-yards share (trailing)3rd of 585.0%
Days of rest7th of 607
Age6th oldest of 6030
Seasons of experience2nd most of 609
Rush yards over expected per attempt (NGS)17th of 37+0.3
Opponent implied total36th of 6022.2
Rushing efficiency (NGS, trailing)24th of 373.8

What the model weighed, strongest influence on this projection first (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position's published week-4 rows; on yes/no rows the count is how many of them share that answer. Stats that depend on scoring are shown in PPR.

2026 season
Games played (most recent season)1st of 8817
Final 3 games (most recent season)5th of 8824.1
Year-over-year scoring swing1st of 6612.6
Target share (most recent season)1st of 8823.4%
Draft capital3rd earliest of 88Round 1, pick 8
Age10th oldest of 8830
Seasons of experience3rd most of 859
On rookie contract47 of 88No
Changed teams72 of 88No
Carries per game (most recent season)2nd of 8818.3
Share of team targets (most recent season)1st of 8624.8%
Week-to-week volatility (most recent season)16th of 878.2
Two-season points per game6th of 8818.2
Worst 3-game stretch (most recent season)1st of 8720.1
New head coach68 of 88No
New starting quarterback80 of 88No
Best 3-game stretch (most recent season)4th of 8730.4
New target competition arriving1st of 8868.4%

What the model weighed, strongest influence on this projection first (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position's published modelled players; on yes/no rows the count is how many of them share that answer. Stats that depend on scoring are shown in PPR.

Projection shown in PPR scoring.

The week’s board, by email. Tuesday evenings. Nothing for sale.

Christian McCaffrey — RB 3 · FFGuy