WR 59

Deebo Samuel Sr.

WR · SF · AGE 31

9.6PPG · PPR
−2.5VOR
WEEK 4WR 44 · vs DEN12.9PROJ
Age11th oldest of 7531
Seasons of experience12th most of 757
Carries per game (trailing)1st of 751.3
Implied team total15th of 7525.2
Air-yards share (trailing)73rd of 757.3%
Opportunity share (WOPR, trailing)67th of 750.25
Targets per game (trailing)62nd of 753.7
Season-to-date PPG (PPR)22nd of 7513.3
Share of team air yards (NGS, trailing)64th of 6611.4%
Trailing PPG (standard)17th of 7510.3
Games played this season1st of 753
Target share (trailing)62nd of 7513.2%
Points per game (last season)30th of 6911.8
Catch rate (NGS, trailing)5th of 6685.7%
Intended air yards (NGS, trailing)66th of 662.5
Defender cushion (NGS, trailing)12th of 667.5
Total receiving EPA per game (trailing)32nd of 75+2.5
Rushing yards per game (trailing)1st of 7510.0
Opportunity share (WOPR, last season)38th of 690.47
YAC over expected (NGS, trailing)42nd of 66-0.2
Target share (last season)14th of 6925.4%
Days of rest6th of 757
Total rushing EPA per game (trailing)8th of 16-0.0
Opponent implied total43rd of 7522.2
Trailing PPG (PPR)22nd of 7513.3
Receptions per game (trailing)51st of 753.0
Receiving yards per game (trailing)32nd of 7553.0
Games played (last season)19th of 6916
Passing yards per game (trailing)2nd of 750.0

What the model weighed, strongest influence on this projection first (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position's published week-4 rows; on yes/no rows the count is how many of them share that answer. Stats that depend on scoring are shown in PPR.

2026 season
Games played (most recent season)27th of 11416
Age12th oldest of 11431
Seasons of experience13th most of 1137
On rookie contract52 of 114No
Target share (most recent season)15th of 11425.4%
Two-season points per game38th of 11411.4
Changed teams24 of 114Yes
New target competition arriving1st of 11468.4%
Best 3-game stretch (most recent season)45th of 11416.4
Change in team pass efficiency10th of 114+0.067 EPA/play
Opportunity share (WOPR, most recent season)43rd of 1140.47
Worst 3-game stretch (most recent season)33rd of 1146.3
Team pass-rate over expected39th of 114-0.312
Team pass efficiency (last season)34th of 114+0.171 EPA/play
Week-to-week volatility (most recent season)38th of 1146.9
Draft capital36th earliest of 114Round 2, pick 36
New head coach92 of 114No
Year-over-year scoring swing82nd of 950.6
Change in team play volume3rd of 114+3.8
New starting quarterback106 of 114No
Season ended early (last year)107 of 114No
Snap share (most recent season)43rd of 11472.2%
Final 3 games (most recent season)57th of 1147.3
Carries per game (most recent season)3rd of 1141.1
Late-season snap trend55th of 114+0.0

What the model weighed, strongest influence on this projection first (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position's published modelled players; on yes/no rows the count is how many of them share that answer. Stats that depend on scoring are shown in PPR.

Projection shown in PPR scoring.

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Deebo Samuel Sr. — WR 59 · FFGuy