RB 6E25E24

Derrick Henry

RB · BAL · AGE 33

15.1PPG · PPR

+3.8VOR

WEEK 4RB 5 · vs TEN20.1PROJ

Carries per game (trailing)1st of 5822.0

Rushing yards per game (trailing)5th of 58100.3

Season-to-date PPG (PPR)4th of 5825.0

Points per game (last season)7th of 5516.4

Implied team total4th of 6027.0

Age1st oldest of 6033

Seasons of experience1st most of 6010

Target share (trailing)31st of 586.5%

Trailing PPG (standard)2nd of 5823.3

Games played this season1st of 603

Targets per game (trailing)34th of 581.7

Runs into stacked boxes (NGS, trailing)6th of 3836.5%

Opponent implied total58th of 6015.5

Best sidelined teammate's form (PPG)8th of 600.0

Played last week57 of 60Yes

Opportunity share (WOPR, last season)35th of 550.07

Receiving yards per game (trailing)25th of 5812.7

Division game45 of 60No

Injury designation (0 none – 3 out)59 of 600

Home game31 of 60Yes

Rushes beating expectation (NGS, trailing)29th of 3833.9%

Practice status this week (0 full – 2 DNP)58 of 600

Time to line of scrimmage (NGS, trailing)15th of 382.83

Rush yards over expected per attempt (NGS)14th of 38+0.4

Days of rest8th of 607

Air-yards share (trailing)49th of 58-2.4%

Total rushing EPA per game (trailing)27th of 56-0.4

Rushing efficiency (NGS, trailing)20th of 384.0

What the model weighed, strongest influence on this projection first (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position's published week-4 rows; on yes/no rows the count is how many of them share that answer. Stats that depend on scoring are shown in PPR.

2026 season

Games played (most recent season)1st of 8817

Final 3 games (most recent season)1st of 8827.0

Age2nd oldest of 8833

Seasons of experience2nd most of 8510

On rookie contract47 of 88No

Draft capital18th earliest of 88Round 2, pick 45

Changed teams72 of 88No

Carries per game (most recent season)4th of 8818.1

New head coach20 of 88Yes

Target share (most recent season)53rd of 884.9%

Two-season points per game7th of 8818.1

Week-to-week volatility (most recent season)5th of 8710.0

New starting quarterback80 of 88No

Best 3-game stretch (most recent season)7th of 8727.0

Worst 3-game stretch (most recent season)23rd of 876.9

Share of team targets (most recent season)47th of 865.2%

New target competition arriving63rd of 8811.9%

Year-over-year scoring swing26th of 663.3

What the model weighed, strongest influence on this projection first (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position's published modelled players; on yes/no rows the count is how many of them share that answer. Stats that depend on scoring are shown in PPR.