WR 126
Greg Dortch
WR · DET · AGE 28
3.3PPG · HALF
−6.1VOR
What the model looked at
BULLISH
Seasons of experience7▲
Games played (last season)85th of 11412▲
Final 3 games (last season)24th of 11410.6▲
New target competition arriving49th of 11424.5%▲
Team pass efficiency (last season)26th of 114+0.187 EPA/play▲
Best 3-game stretch (last season)59th of 11411.9▲
Late-season snap trend13th of 114+0.2▲
Worst 3-game stretch (last season)82nd of 1141.2▲
On rookie contractNo▲
Year-over-year scoring swing72nd of 930.8▲
Team pass-rate over expected91st of 114-4.452▲
Snap share (last season)105th of 11433.6%▲
NEUTRAL
Week-to-week volatility (last season)59th of 1145.1–
Carries per game (last season)15th of 1140.6–
BEARISH
Change in team pass efficiency3rd of 114+0.134 EPA/play▼
Age28▼
Changed teamsYes▼
Target share (last season)105th of 1146.8%▼
Two-season points per game90th of 1144.6▼
Opportunity share (WOPR, last season)111th of 1140.11▼
Season ended early (last year)Yes▼
Draft capitalUndrafted▼
New head coachNo▼
New starting quarterbackNo▼
Change in team play volume107th of 114-2.6▼
▲ bullish · ▼ bearish for this projection, per the model — strongest influence first within each group (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position’s published modelled players; stats that depend on scoring are shown in Half-PPR.
Projection shown in Half-PPR scoring.