DST 2E25E24

Houston Texans

DST · HOU

7.2PPG

+0.4VOR

WEEK 4DST 17 · vs DAL6.7PROJ

Implied team total7th of 3225.8

Opponent implied total17th of 3222.8

Defensive TDs (trailing)9th of 320.00

Days of rest4th of 327

Points allowed per game (trailing)14th of 3225.0

What the model weighed, strongest influence on this projection first (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position's published week-4 rows; on yes/no rows the count is how many of them share that answer. Stats that depend on scoring are shown in PPR.

2026 season

Opponent giveaway rate (schedule)19th of 321.12/gm

Two-season points per game3rd of 328.9

Best 3-game stretch (most recent season)4th of 3214.3

New head coach25 of 32No

Opponent play volume (schedule)18th of 3263.3

Worst 3-game stretch (most recent season)1st of 326.0

Safeties (last season)20 of 320

Own offense rush efficiency (last season)30th of 32-0.170 EPA/play

Defensive success rate (last season)31st of 3238.4%

Defensive touchdowns (last season)3rd of 324

Defensive plays faced per game (last season)28th of 3260.6

Last season points per game2nd of 329.6

Own offense giveaways per game (last season)21st of 321.00

Own offense sacks allowed per game (last season)22nd of 321.95

Own offense success rate (last season)28th of 3241.4%

What the model weighed, strongest influence on this projection first (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position's published modelled players; on yes/no rows the count is how many of them share that answer. Stats that depend on scoring are shown in PPR.