WR 71

Jalen Nailor

WR · LV · AGE 28

6.4PPG · HALF

−3.0VOR

What the model looked at

BULLISH

Games played (last season)2nd of 11417▲

New target competition arriving75th of 11413.1%▲

New head coachYes▲

New starting quarterbackYes▲

Worst 3-game stretch (last season)99th of 1140.7▲

On rookie contractNo▲

Year-over-year scoring swing70th of 931.0▲

Season ended early (last year)No▲

NEUTRAL

Seasons of experience4–

Opportunity share (WOPR, last season)79th of 1140.29–

Week-to-week volatility (last season)42nd of 1146.0–

Change in team play volume102nd of 114-0.1–

Carries per game (last season)48th of 1140.1–

BEARISH

Changed teamsYes▼

Team pass-rate over expected51st of 114-1.682▼

Final 3 games (last season)101st of 1142.1▼

Age28▼

Best 3-game stretch (last season)86th of 1148.4▼

Two-season points per game79th of 1145.6▼

Late-season snap trend86th of 114-0.1▼

Target share (last season)80th of 11411.7%▼

Snap share (last season)58th of 11465.4%▼

Draft capitalRound 6, pick 191▼

Change in team pass efficiency15th of 114+0.006 EPA/play▼

Team pass efficiency (last season)98th of 114-0.133 EPA/play▼

▲ bullish · ▼ bearish for this projection, per the model — strongest influence first within each group (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position’s published modelled players; stats that depend on scoring are shown in Half-PPR.