WR 119

Jalen Tolbert

WR · MIA · AGE 28

3.3PPG · HALF

−6.1VOR

What the model looked at

BULLISH

Change in team pass efficiency111th of 114-0.190 EPA/play▲

Games played (last season)85th of 11412▲

New target competition arriving63rd of 11420.9%▲

New head coachYes▲

New starting quarterbackYes▲

Team pass-rate over expected95th of 114-5.017▲

Worst 3-game stretch (last season)85th of 1141.1▲

On rookie contractNo▲

Draft capitalRound 3, pick 88▲

Season ended early (last year)No▲

NEUTRAL

Seasons of experience4–

Snap share (last season)80th of 11451.3%–

Carries per game (last season)62nd of 1140.0–

BEARISH

Changed teamsYes▼

Best 3-game stretch (last season)102nd of 1145.5▼

Target share (last season)103rd of 1147.6%▼

Team pass efficiency (last season)90th of 114+0.002 EPA/play▼

Final 3 games (last season)106th of 1141.7▼

Age28▼

Change in team play volume114th of 114-11.5▼

Late-season snap trend106th of 114-0.2▼

Opportunity share (WOPR, last season)100th of 1140.20▼

Week-to-week volatility (last season)89th of 1143.8▼

Year-over-year scoring swing17th of 934.4▼

Two-season points per game84th of 1145.3▼

▲ bullish · ▼ bearish for this projection, per the model — strongest influence first within each group (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position’s published modelled players; stats that depend on scoring are shown in Half-PPR.