WR 41RC

Josh Downs

WR · IND · AGE 25

11.2PPG · PPR

−0.9VOR

WEEK 4WR 16 · @ WAS16.5PROJ

Implied team total10th of 7526.0

Points per game (last season)47th of 698.7

Air-yards share (trailing)10th of 7541.4%

Total receiving EPA per game (trailing)18th of 75+4.4

Share of team air yards (NGS, trailing)5th of 6652.4%

Opportunity share (WOPR, trailing)12th of 750.67

Age51st oldest of 7525

Seasons of experience39th most of 753

Opportunity share (WOPR, last season)47th of 690.38

Games played this season1st of 753

Targets per game (trailing)15th of 758.0

Target share (trailing)18th of 7525.1%

Trailing PPG (standard)38th of 756.2

YAC over expected (NGS, trailing)8th of 66+2.0

Season-to-date PPG (PPR)34th of 7510.9

Carries per game (trailing)17th of 750.0

Defender cushion (NGS, trailing)52nd of 665.3

Receiving yards per game (trailing)22nd of 7562.0

Days of rest6th of 757

Trailing PPG (PPR)34th of 7510.9

Catch rate (NGS, trailing)41st of 6661.6%

Rushing yards per game (trailing)14th of 750.0

Opponent implied total39th of 7522.5

Target share (last season)45th of 6917.5%

Games played (last season)19th of 6916

Intended air yards (NGS, trailing)31st of 6611.3

Receptions per game (trailing)22nd of 754.7

Passing yards per game (trailing)2nd of 750.0

What the model weighed, strongest influence on this projection first (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position's published week-4 rows; on yes/no rows the count is how many of them share that answer. Stats that depend on scoring are shown in PPR.

2026 season

Games played (most recent season)27th of 11416

Two-season points per game46th of 11410.8

Age76th oldest of 11425

Seasons of experience55th most of 1133

On rookie contract62 of 114Yes

Target share (most recent season)52nd of 11417.5%

Best 3-game stretch (most recent season)47th of 11415.6

Changed teams90 of 114No

Team pass efficiency (last season)42nd of 114+0.120 EPA/play

New target competition arriving50th of 11428.3%

Team pass-rate over expected41st of 114-0.413

Final 3 games (most recent season)43rd of 1148.9

Late-season snap trend21st of 114+0.1

New head coach92 of 114No

Opportunity share (WOPR, most recent season)59th of 1140.38

Draft capital65th earliest of 114Round 3, pick 79

New starting quarterback106 of 114No

Season ended early (last year)107 of 114No

Year-over-year scoring swing28th of 954.4

Week-to-week volatility (most recent season)83rd of 1144.7

Snap share (most recent season)65th of 11458.7%

Worst 3-game stretch (most recent season)63rd of 1143.6

Change in team play volume10th of 114+0.0

Carries per game (most recent season)46th of 1140.1

Change in team pass efficiency14th of 114+0.000 EPA/play

What the model weighed, strongest influence on this projection first (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position's published modelled players; on yes/no rows the count is how many of them share that answer. Stats that depend on scoring are shown in PPR.