WR 41RC

Josh Downs

WR · IND · AGE 25

11.2PPG · PPR

−0.9VOR

WEEK 1WR 40 · vs BAL12.5PROJ

Points per game (last season)53rd of 708.7

Opponent implied total11th of 7525.5

Age49th oldest of 7525

Seasons of experience38th most of 753

Opportunity share (WOPR, last season)52nd of 700.38

Implied team total50th of 7522.0

Target share (last season)49th of 7017.5%

Games played (last season)23rd of 7016

What the model weighed, strongest influence on this projection first (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position's published week-1 rows; on yes/no rows the count is how many of them share that answer. Stats that depend on scoring are shown in PPR.

2026 season

Games played (most recent season)27th of 11416

Two-season points per game46th of 11410.8

Age76th oldest of 11425

Seasons of experience55th most of 1133

On rookie contract62 of 114Yes

Target share (most recent season)52nd of 11417.5%

Best 3-game stretch (most recent season)47th of 11415.6

Changed teams90 of 114No

Team pass efficiency (last season)42nd of 114+0.120 EPA/play

New target competition arriving50th of 11428.3%

Team pass-rate over expected41st of 114-0.413

Final 3 games (most recent season)43rd of 1148.9

Late-season snap trend21st of 114+0.1

New head coach92 of 114No

Opportunity share (WOPR, most recent season)59th of 1140.38

Draft capital65th earliest of 114Round 3, pick 79

New starting quarterback106 of 114No

Season ended early (last year)107 of 114No

Year-over-year scoring swing28th of 954.4

Week-to-week volatility (most recent season)83rd of 1144.7

Snap share (most recent season)65th of 11458.7%

Worst 3-game stretch (most recent season)63rd of 1143.6

Change in team play volume10th of 114+0.0

Carries per game (most recent season)46th of 1140.1

Change in team pass efficiency14th of 114+0.000 EPA/play

What the model weighed, strongest influence on this projection first (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position's published modelled players; on yes/no rows the count is how many of them share that answer. Stats that depend on scoring are shown in PPR.