WR 104

Josh Palmer

WR · BUF · AGE 27

4.8PPG · PPR

−7.3VOR

WEEK 4WR 66 · vs NE9.8PROJ

Implied team total1st of 7528.2

Points per game (last season)59th of 684.4

Opportunity share (WOPR, last season)57th of 680.25

Targets per game (trailing)69th of 752.5

Opportunity share (WOPR, trailing)65th of 750.25

Total receiving EPA per game (trailing)16th of 75+4.5

Target share (trailing)67th of 758.9%

Games played this season67th of 752

Trailing PPG (standard)17th of 759.9

Air-yards share (trailing)54th of 7516.4%

Season-to-date PPG (PPR)32nd of 7510.9

Carries per game (trailing)19th of 750.0

Opponent implied total45th of 7521.2

Receiving yards per game (trailing)47th of 7538.5

Target share (last season)58th of 6810.2%

Days of rest6th of 757

Age25th oldest of 7527

Seasons of experience20th most of 755

Receptions per game (trailing)73rd of 751.0

Trailing PPG (PPR)32nd of 7510.9

Rushing yards per game (trailing)15th of 750.0

Games played (last season)52nd of 6812

Passing yards per game (trailing)2nd of 750.0

What the model weighed, strongest influence on this projection first (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position's published week-4 rows; on yes/no rows the count is how many of them share that answer. Stats that depend on scoring are shown in PPR.

2026 season

Games played (most recent season)87th of 11412

Age41st oldest of 11427

Seasons of experience30th most of 1135

On rookie contract52 of 114No

Team pass-rate over expected65th of 114-2.956

Best 3-game stretch (most recent season)103rd of 1146.4

Final 3 games (most recent season)108th of 1141.5

Changed teams90 of 114No

Two-season points per game86th of 1145.8

Target share (most recent season)84th of 11410.2%

New target competition arriving44th of 11431.0%

Worst 3-game stretch (most recent season)82nd of 1141.5

Team pass efficiency (last season)11th of 114+0.224 EPA/play

Late-season snap trend18th of 114+0.1

New head coach92 of 114No

Draft capital64th earliest of 114Round 3, pick 77

Week-to-week volatility (most recent season)104th of 1143.1

Opportunity share (WOPR, most recent season)85th of 1140.25

New starting quarterback106 of 114No

Season ended early (last year)107 of 114No

Carries per game (most recent season)64th of 1140.0

Year-over-year scoring swing44th of 952.8

Snap share (most recent season)82nd of 11448.3%

Change in team play volume10th of 114+0.0

Change in team pass efficiency14th of 114+0.000 EPA/play

What the model weighed, strongest influence on this projection first (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position's published modelled players; on yes/no rows the count is how many of them share that answer. Stats that depend on scoring are shown in PPR.