WR 106

Josh Palmer

WR · BUF · AGE 27

3.9PPG · HALF

−5.5VOR

What the model looked at

BULLISH

Games played (last season)85th of 11412▲

Team pass-rate over expected64th of 114-2.956▲

Seasons of experience5▲

Changed teamsNo▲

New target competition arriving35th of 11429.2%▲

Worst 3-game stretch (last season)92nd of 1141.0▲

On rookie contractNo▲

Team pass efficiency (last season)12th of 114+0.224 EPA/play▲

Late-season snap trend17th of 114+0.1▲

Draft capitalRound 3, pick 77▲

Age27▲

Season ended early (last year)No▲

NEUTRAL

Carries per game (last season)62nd of 1140.0–

Year-over-year scoring swing42nd of 932.4–

Snap share (last season)85th of 11448.3%–

Change in team play volume11th of 114+0.0–

Change in team pass efficiency16th of 114+0.000 EPA/play–

BEARISH

Best 3-game stretch (last season)107th of 1145.1▼

Final 3 games (last season)113th of 1141.0▼

Two-season points per game89th of 1144.7▼

Target share (last season)88th of 11410.2%▼

New head coachNo▼

Week-to-week volatility (last season)105th of 1142.6▼

Opportunity share (WOPR, last season)90th of 1140.25▼

New starting quarterbackNo▼

▲ bullish · ▼ bearish for this projection, per the model — strongest influence first within each group (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position’s published modelled players; stats that depend on scoring are shown in Half-PPR.