WR 5E24

Justin Jefferson

WR · MIN · AGE 27

16.9PPG · PPR

+4.9VOR

WEEK 4WR 9 · vs MIA18.4PROJ

Opportunity share (WOPR, last season)4th of 690.74

Season-to-date PPG (PPR)16th of 7515.0

Opponent implied total73rd of 7514.0

Total receiving EPA per game (trailing)11th of 75+5.2

Implied team total24th of 7524.5

Share of team air yards (NGS, trailing)4th of 6653.6%

Trailing PPG (standard)14th of 7510.6

Opportunity share (WOPR, trailing)15th of 750.65

Air-yards share (trailing)17th of 7536.9%

Target share (trailing)14th of 7526.2%

Points per game (last season)29th of 6911.9

Games played this season1st of 753

Defender cushion (NGS, trailing)60th of 664.3

Carries per game (trailing)17th of 750.0

Targets per game (trailing)39th of 755.7

YAC over expected (NGS, trailing)15th of 66+1.3

Target share (last season)5th of 6930.7%

Trailing PPG (PPR)16th of 7515.0

Catch rate (NGS, trailing)24th of 6669.4%

Days of rest6th of 757

Receiving yards per game (trailing)26th of 7559.7

Intended air yards (NGS, trailing)23rd of 6612.6

Rushing yards per game (trailing)14th of 750.0

Games played (last season)2nd of 6917

Age27th oldest of 7527

Seasons of experience16th most of 756

Passing yards per game (trailing)2nd of 750.0

Receptions per game (trailing)24th of 754.3

What the model weighed, strongest influence on this projection first (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position's published week-4 rows; on yes/no rows the count is how many of them share that answer. Stats that depend on scoring are shown in PPR.

2026 season

Games played (most recent season)2nd of 11417

Two-season points per game13th of 11415.3

Target share (most recent season)5th of 11430.7%

Age39th oldest of 11427

Seasons of experience23rd most of 1136

On rookie contract52 of 114No

Best 3-game stretch (most recent season)32nd of 11418.3

Opportunity share (WOPR, most recent season)4th of 1140.74

Team pass efficiency (last season)102nd of 114-0.139 EPA/play

Final 3 games (most recent season)20th of 11413.3

Changed teams90 of 114No

Year-over-year scoring swing6th of 956.8

New target competition arriving41st of 11431.7%

Draft capital20th earliest of 114Round 1, pick 22

Snap share (most recent season)3rd of 11494.2%

Week-to-week volatility (most recent season)63rd of 1145.8

New head coach92 of 114No

New starting quarterback106 of 114No

Season ended early (last year)107 of 114No

Worst 3-game stretch (most recent season)64th of 1143.2

Late-season snap trend73rd of 114-0.0

Team pass-rate over expected49th of 114-0.836

Carries per game (most recent season)49th of 1140.1

Change in team play volume10th of 114+0.0

Change in team pass efficiency14th of 114+0.000 EPA/play

What the model weighed, strongest influence on this projection first (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position's published modelled players; on yes/no rows the count is how many of them share that answer. Stats that depend on scoring are shown in PPR.