WR 23RC

Luther Burden III

WR · CHI · AGE 23

13.2PPG · PPR

+1.2VOR

WEEK 4WR 29 · vs NYJ14.6PROJ

Age71st oldest of 7523

Seasons of experience62nd most of 751

Opportunity share (WOPR, last season)59th of 690.27

Points per game (last season)48th of 698.5

Total receiving EPA per game (trailing)65th of 75-1.0

Carries per game (trailing)5th of 750.7

Opponent implied total57th of 7520.0

Defender cushion (NGS, trailing)5th of 668.4

Games played this season1st of 753

Opportunity share (WOPR, trailing)27th of 750.57

Implied team total30th of 7523.5

Target share (trailing)19th of 7525.0%

Targets per game (trailing)17th of 757.7

Trailing PPG (standard)35th of 756.8

Days of rest66th of 756

Air-yards share (trailing)38th of 7528.0%

Intended air yards (NGS, trailing)52nd of 667.8

Season-to-date PPG (PPR)29th of 7511.8

Total rushing EPA per game (trailing)9th of 16-0.1

Catch rate (NGS, trailing)25th of 6668.8%

Target share (last season)54th of 6913.1%

Share of team air yards (NGS, trailing)45th of 6628.7%

YAC over expected (NGS, trailing)25th of 66+0.6

Rushing yards per game (trailing)7th of 753.0

Receiving yards per game (trailing)33rd of 7552.0

Receptions per game (trailing)15th of 755.0

Games played (last season)34th of 6915

Passing yards per game (trailing)2nd of 750.0

Trailing PPG (PPR)29th of 7511.8

What the model weighed, strongest influence on this projection first (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position's published week-4 rows; on yes/no rows the count is how many of them share that answer. Stats that depend on scoring are shown in PPR.

2026 season

Games played (most recent season)47th of 11415

Age113th oldest of 11423

Seasons of experience95th most of 1131

On rookie contract62 of 114Yes

Final 3 games (most recent season)10th of 11416.6

Best 3-game stretch (most recent season)36th of 11417.7

Changed teams90 of 114No

New target competition arriving58th of 11425.5%

Two-season points per game62nd of 1148.5

Late-season snap trend11th of 114+0.2

Draft capital37th earliest of 114Round 2, pick 39

Team pass efficiency (last season)45th of 114+0.119 EPA/play

Week-to-week volatility (most recent season)24th of 1147.5

New head coach92 of 114No

New starting quarterback106 of 114No

Season ended early (last year)107 of 114No

Team pass-rate over expected75th of 114-3.248

Opportunity share (WOPR, most recent season)81st of 1140.27

Target share (most recent season)72nd of 11413.1%

Snap share (most recent season)93rd of 11439.7%

Worst 3-game stretch (most recent season)58th of 1144.0

Carries per game (most recent season)23rd of 1140.4

Change in team play volume10th of 114+0.0

Change in team pass efficiency14th of 114+0.000 EPA/play

What the model weighed, strongest influence on this projection first (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position's published modelled players; on yes/no rows the count is how many of them share that answer. Stats that depend on scoring are shown in PPR.