DST 10

New England Patriots

DST · NE

6.8PPG

+0.0VOR

WEEK 4DST 31 · @ BUF4.6PROJ

Opponent implied total1st of 3227.8

Implied team total24th of 3220.8

Defensive TDs (trailing)1st of 320.33

Points allowed per game (trailing)27th of 3217.0

Days of rest4th of 327

What the model weighed, strongest influence on this projection first (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position's published week-4 rows; on yes/no rows the count is how many of them share that answer. Stats that depend on scoring are shown in PPR.

2026 season

Opponent giveaway rate (schedule)15th of 321.13/gm

Two-season points per game20th of 325.5

Opponent play volume (schedule)29th of 3262.4

New head coach25 of 32No

Defensive touchdowns (last season)2nd of 325

Safeties (last season)12 of 321

Best 3-game stretch (most recent season)13th of 3211.7

Defensive plays faced per game (last season)26th of 3260.8

Own offense sacks allowed per game (last season)7th of 323.29

Own offense giveaways per game (last season)17th of 321.14

Worst 3-game stretch (most recent season)7th of 322.7

Last season points per game10th of 327.5

Own offense success rate (last season)9th of 3246.3%

Defensive success rate (last season)21st of 3242.9%

Own offense rush efficiency (last season)23rd of 32-0.103 EPA/play

What the model weighed, strongest influence on this projection first (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position's published modelled players; on yes/no rows the count is how many of them share that answer. Stats that depend on scoring are shown in PPR.