WR 13E25E24

Nico Collins

WR · HOU · AGE 27

15.0PPG · PPR

+2.9VOR

WEEK 4WR 8 · vs DAL18.7PROJ

Season-to-date PPG (PPR)7th of 7521.2

Points per game (last season)11th of 6915.1

Implied team total14th of 7525.8

Trailing PPG (standard)8th of 7514.2

Opportunity share (WOPR, last season)16th of 690.61

Carries per game (trailing)3rd of 751.0

Total receiving EPA per game (trailing)13th of 75+4.9

Targets per game (trailing)5th of 7510.0

Opportunity share (WOPR, trailing)11th of 750.67

Games played this season72nd of 751

Air-yards share (trailing)16th of 7537.3%

Target share (trailing)10th of 7527.0%

Share of team air yards (NGS, trailing)16th of 6643.6%

Defender cushion (NGS, trailing)62nd of 664.0

Trailing PPG (PPR)7th of 7521.2

Total rushing EPA per game (trailing)4th of 16+0.9

Age24th oldest of 7527

Seasons of experience22nd most of 755

Receiving yards per game (trailing)13th of 7575.0

Rushing yards per game (trailing)3rd of 757.0

Catch rate (NGS, trailing)22nd of 6670.0%

Target share (last season)19th of 6924.2%

Days of rest6th of 757

Intended air yards (NGS, trailing)24th of 6612.6

Receptions per game (trailing)4th of 757.0

Opponent implied total38th of 7522.8

YAC over expected (NGS, trailing)36th of 66+0.3

Games played (last season)34th of 6915

Passing yards per game (trailing)2nd of 750.0

What the model weighed, strongest influence on this projection first (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position's published week-4 rows; on yes/no rows the count is how many of them share that answer. Stats that depend on scoring are shown in PPR.

2026 season

Two-season points per game9th of 11416.3

Games played (most recent season)47th of 11415

Target share (most recent season)20th of 11424.2%

Best 3-game stretch (most recent season)21st of 11420.4

Worst 3-game stretch (most recent season)8th of 11411.5

Final 3 games (most recent season)19th of 11414.0

Opportunity share (WOPR, most recent season)17th of 1140.61

Changed teams90 of 114No

Age35th oldest of 11427

Seasons of experience30th most of 1135

On rookie contract52 of 114No

Team pass efficiency (last season)64th of 114+0.086 EPA/play

Week-to-week volatility (most recent season)51st of 1146.5

New target competition arriving33rd of 11434.5%

Team pass-rate over expected44th of 114-0.475

New head coach92 of 114No

Snap share (most recent season)37th of 11477.2%

Draft capital70th earliest of 114Round 3, pick 89

New starting quarterback106 of 114No

Season ended early (last year)107 of 114No

Late-season snap trend67th of 114-0.0

Year-over-year scoring swing47th of 952.5

Change in team play volume10th of 114+0.0

Change in team pass efficiency14th of 114+0.000 EPA/play

Carries per game (most recent season)44th of 1140.1

What the model weighed, strongest influence on this projection first (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position's published modelled players; on yes/no rows the count is how many of them share that answer. Stats that depend on scoring are shown in PPR.