WR 13E25E24

Nico Collins

WR · HOU · AGE 27

15.0PPG · PPR

+2.9VOR

WEEK 1WR 5 · vs BUF18.5PROJ

Points per game (last season)11th of 7015.1

Opportunity share (WOPR, last season)17th of 700.61

Age24th oldest of 7527

Seasons of experience21st most of 755

Opponent implied total49th of 7521.5

Implied team total34th of 7523.0

Target share (last season)20th of 7024.2%

Games played (last season)37th of 7015

What the model weighed, strongest influence on this projection first (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position's published week-1 rows; on yes/no rows the count is how many of them share that answer. Stats that depend on scoring are shown in PPR.

2026 season

Two-season points per game9th of 11216.3

Games played (most recent season)47th of 11215

Target share (most recent season)20th of 11224.2%

Best 3-game stretch (most recent season)21st of 11220.4

Worst 3-game stretch (most recent season)8th of 11211.5

Final 3 games (most recent season)19th of 11214.0

Opportunity share (WOPR, most recent season)17th of 1120.61

Changed teams88 of 112No

Age36th oldest of 11227

Seasons of experience30th most of 1105

On rookie contract53 of 112No

Team pass efficiency (last season)64th of 112+0.086 EPA/play

Week-to-week volatility (most recent season)51st of 1126.5

New target competition arriving34th of 11234.5%

Team pass-rate over expected45th of 112-0.475

New head coach92 of 112No

Snap share (most recent season)37th of 11277.2%

Draft capital69th earliest of 112Round 3, pick 89

New starting quarterback104 of 112No

Season ended early (last year)104 of 112No

Late-season snap trend66th of 112-0.0

Year-over-year scoring swing48th of 952.5

Change in team play volume10th of 112+0.0

Change in team pass efficiency14th of 112+0.000 EPA/play

Carries per game (most recent season)42nd of 1120.1

What the model weighed, strongest influence on this projection first (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position's published modelled players; on yes/no rows the count is how many of them share that answer. Stats that depend on scoring are shown in PPR.