DST 18

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

DST · TB

6.5PPG
−0.3VOR
WEEK 4DST 14 · vs GB6.8PROJ
Opponent implied total22nd of 3221.0
Implied team total30th of 3217.5
Defensive TDs (trailing)1st of 320.33
Days of rest4th of 327
Points allowed per game (trailing)10th of 3226.3

What the model weighed, strongest influence on this projection first (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position's published week-4 rows; on yes/no rows the count is how many of them share that answer. Stats that depend on scoring are shown in PPR.

2026 season
Opponent giveaway rate (schedule)12th of 321.14/gm
Best 3-game stretch (most recent season)2nd of 3215.0
New head coach25 of 32No
Two-season points per game18th of 325.9
Opponent play volume (schedule)14th of 3263.4
Safeties (last season)12 of 321
Defensive plays faced per game (last season)29th of 3260.5
Defensive touchdowns (last season)12th of 322
Own offense rush efficiency (last season)16th of 32-0.080 EPA/play
Own offense giveaways per game (last season)23rd of 320.94
Defensive success rate (last season)13th of 3245.0%
Worst 3-game stretch (most recent season)16th of 321.3
Last season points per game17th of 325.8
Own offense sacks allowed per game (last season)16th of 322.24
Own offense success rate (last season)20th of 3243.2%

What the model weighed, strongest influence on this projection first (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position's published modelled players; on yes/no rows the count is how many of them share that answer. Stats that depend on scoring are shown in PPR.

Projection shown in PPR scoring.

The week’s board, by email. Tuesday evenings. Nothing for sale.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers — DST 18 · FFGuy