WR 11E25RC

Zay Flowers

WR · BAL · AGE 26

15.2PPG · PPR

+3.1VOR

WEEK 4WR 7 · vs TEN19.2PROJ

Season-to-date PPG (PPR)8th of 7520.7

Total receiving EPA per game (trailing)1st of 75+9.8

Implied team total4th of 7527.0

Trailing PPG (standard)6th of 7515.7

Opportunity share (WOPR, last season)10th of 690.70

Points per game (last season)12th of 6914.3

YAC over expected (NGS, trailing)2nd of 66+6.0

Opponent implied total71st of 7515.5

Receiving yards per game (trailing)4th of 75117.0

Opportunity share (WOPR, trailing)18th of 750.64

Total rushing EPA per game (trailing)1st of 16+1.6

Target share (trailing)8th of 7527.5%

Games played this season66th of 752

Carries per game (trailing)8th of 750.5

Defender cushion (NGS, trailing)65th of 663.9

Air-yards share (trailing)27th of 7532.1%

Trailing PPG (PPR)8th of 7520.7

Catch rate (NGS, trailing)6th of 6683.3%

Rushing yards per game (trailing)1st of 7510.0

Target share (last season)8th of 6929.9%

Targets per game (trailing)34th of 756.0

Days of rest6th of 757

Share of team air yards (NGS, trailing)43rd of 6629.4%

Games played (last season)2nd of 6917

Age40th oldest of 7526

Seasons of experience39th most of 753

Receptions per game (trailing)15th of 755.0

Passing yards per game (trailing)2nd of 750.0

Intended air yards (NGS, trailing)36th of 6611.0

What the model weighed, strongest influence on this projection first (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position's published week-4 rows; on yes/no rows the count is how many of them share that answer. Stats that depend on scoring are shown in PPR.

2026 season

Games played (most recent season)2nd of 11417

Target share (most recent season)8th of 11429.9%

Two-season points per game23rd of 11413.3

Final 3 games (most recent season)5th of 11421.3

Best 3-game stretch (most recent season)18th of 11421.3

Team pass-rate over expected108th of 114-7.801

Opportunity share (WOPR, most recent season)10th of 1140.70

New target competition arriving81st of 11411.9%

Team pass efficiency (last season)69th of 114+0.072 EPA/play

Changed teams90 of 114No

Worst 3-game stretch (most recent season)23rd of 1147.9

New head coach22 of 114Yes

Age62nd oldest of 11426

Seasons of experience55th most of 1133

On rookie contract62 of 114Yes

Week-to-week volatility (most recent season)27th of 1147.5

Draft capital20th earliest of 114Round 1, pick 22

Snap share (most recent season)12th of 11486.5%

New starting quarterback106 of 114No

Season ended early (last year)107 of 114No

Late-season snap trend75th of 114-0.0

Year-over-year scoring swing56th of 952.0

Carries per game (most recent season)16th of 1140.6

Change in team play volume10th of 114+0.0

Change in team pass efficiency14th of 114+0.000 EPA/play

What the model weighed, strongest influence on this projection first (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position's published modelled players; on yes/no rows the count is how many of them share that answer. Stats that depend on scoring are shown in PPR.