One model, published as a board
FFGuy is NFL fantasy football rankings from a single statistical model: the same code, the same inputs, and the same board for everyone. No part of any ranking is a judgement call made after seeing the number.
The operating rule is simple: FFGuy publishes; the model picks. There are no hand edits. If a name sits higher or lower than you expected, that is the model’s call, and the player page shows what it looked at.
FFGuy is one person and a model. The person writes the code, curates the inputs, and publishes — the model picks every ranking, and nothing is overridden by hand. Years of hand-built rankings came first; the discipline of this site is that the model now does the picking.
The 2026 draft board is live now: six positions (QB 25 · RB 50 · WR 60 · TE 20 · K 20 · DST 20), in PPR, Half-PPR and Standard scoring, with a page per ranked player. Weekly rankings run through the season from 8 September — published Tuesday evening ahead of waivers, refreshed as news and market prices move, final on Sunday morning. The whole site is free.
Production history at per-game rates, weighted toward recent form. Role and situation — a change of team or head coach resets the assumptions under a usage rate. Age and contract stage, on position-specific curves. Sportsbook market prices — implied totals, spreads and game totals, the fastest-updating input we have. And schedule strength, measured from opponent efficiency rather than record.
No one else's rankings, ever.
Every number on this site is our model's own output. We never publish, blend, or reconcile anyone else's rankings or projections. The board order at some positions also weighs the draft market — that is disclosed on the board itself, not hidden.
No revisions after the fact.
A published board stays published. When rankings change, it is because the inputs changed and the model re-ran — the publish stamp on the board is recorded the moment the board is built.
No accuracy guarantee.
Weekly variance is larger than the difference between a good projection and a mediocre one. We publish the number and the reasoning, not a promise.
No injury prediction.
A projection assumes the player is available. Late news on Sunday morning is your job; the board will not know before you do.
Player and game data come from nflverse, the open NFL data project. Market prices come from published sportsbook game lines; weather from public forecasts. Nothing behind the model is proprietary data we could not name.
FFGuy is on X at @FFGuyOfficial. Questions about the rankings, the data, or anything on this page are welcome.