WR 118

Calvin Austin III

WR · NYG · AGE 27

3.3PPG · HALF

−6.1VOR

What the model looked at

BULLISH

Games played (last season)65th of 11414▲

New head coachYes▲

Worst 3-game stretch (last season)83rd of 1141.2▲

Change in team play volume2nd of 114+7.3▲

On rookie contractNo▲

Team pass-rate over expected86th of 114-4.358▲

Opportunity share (WOPR, last season)61st of 1140.37▲

Year-over-year scoring swing69th of 931.0▲

Season ended early (last year)No▲

Target share (last season)72nd of 11413.1%▲

NEUTRAL

Draft capitalRound 4, pick 138–

Seasons of experience4–

Snap share (last season)76th of 11453.5%–

Week-to-week volatility (last season)66th of 1144.9–

Carries per game (last season)62nd of 1140.0–

BEARISH

Changed teamsYes▼

New target competition arriving4th of 11465.3%▼

Late-season snap trend110th of 114-0.2▼

Change in team pass efficiency13th of 114+0.042 EPA/play▼

Age27▼

Two-season points per game80th of 1145.5▼

Team pass efficiency (last season)56th of 114+0.092 EPA/play▼

Final 3 games (last season)69th of 1144.8▼

Best 3-game stretch (last season)73rd of 1149.5▼

New starting quarterbackNo▼

▲ bullish · ▼ bearish for this projection, per the model — strongest influence first within each group (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position’s published modelled players; stats that depend on scoring are shown in Half-PPR.