WR 29

Christian Watson

WR · GB · AGE 27

12.2PPG · PPR

+0.1VOR

WEEK 4WR 18 · @ TB16.1PROJ

Season-to-date PPG (PPR)5th of 7523.1

Trailing PPG (standard)3rd of 7517.5

Points per game (last season)17th of 6913.2

Implied team total51st of 7521.0

Targets per game (trailing)7th of 759.7

Opponent implied total69th of 7517.5

Opportunity share (WOPR, last season)25th of 690.55

YAC over expected (NGS, trailing)5th of 66+3.2

Opportunity share (WOPR, trailing)22nd of 750.60

Receiving yards per game (trailing)6th of 7594.7

Age26th oldest of 7527

Seasons of experience29th most of 754

Target share (trailing)15th of 7525.8%

Games played this season1st of 753

Trailing PPG (PPR)5th of 7523.1

Days of rest2nd of 7510

Carries per game (trailing)17th of 750.0

Air-yards share (trailing)31st of 7530.0%

Defender cushion (NGS, trailing)24th of 666.8

Total receiving EPA per game (trailing)43rd of 75+1.7

Catch rate (NGS, trailing)46th of 6660.5%

Share of team air yards (NGS, trailing)37th of 6631.1%

Target share (last season)33rd of 6920.3%

Rushing yards per game (trailing)14th of 750.0

Receptions per game (trailing)13th of 755.7

Games played (last season)57th of 6910

Intended air yards (NGS, trailing)30th of 6611.3

Passing yards per game (trailing)2nd of 750.0

What the model weighed, strongest influence on this projection first (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position's published week-4 rows; on yes/no rows the count is how many of them share that answer. Stats that depend on scoring are shown in PPR.

2026 season

Target share (most recent season)35th of 11420.3%

Best 3-game stretch (most recent season)37th of 11417.7

Two-season points per game49th of 11410.4

Team pass efficiency (last season)6th of 114+0.257 EPA/play

New target competition arriving76th of 11412.7%

Team pass-rate over expected83rd of 114-3.480

Worst 3-game stretch (most recent season)11th of 1148.9

Opportunity share (WOPR, most recent season)28th of 1140.55

Changed teams90 of 114No

Final 3 games (most recent season)29th of 11410.6

Week-to-week volatility (most recent season)22nd of 1147.7

Draft capital33rd earliest of 114Round 2, pick 34

Games played (most recent season)99th of 11410

Year-over-year scoring swing16th of 955.7

New head coach92 of 114No

Late-season snap trend82nd of 114-0.1

New starting quarterback106 of 114No

Season ended early (last year)107 of 114No

Snap share (most recent season)55th of 11467.7%

Age38th oldest of 11427

Seasons of experience38th most of 1134

On rookie contract52 of 114No

Carries per game (most recent season)54th of 1140.1

Change in team play volume10th of 114+0.0

Change in team pass efficiency14th of 114+0.000 EPA/play

What the model weighed, strongest influence on this projection first (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position's published modelled players; on yes/no rows the count is how many of them share that answer. Stats that depend on scoring are shown in PPR.