WR 28

DK Metcalf

WR · PIT · AGE 29

12.4PPG · PPR

+0.3VOR

WEEK 4WR 39 · @ CLE13.6PROJ

Total receiving EPA per game (trailing)70th of 75-2.1

Implied team total57th of 7520.5

Season-to-date PPG (PPR)47th of 758.9

Opportunity share (WOPR, last season)21st of 690.60

Opponent implied total62nd of 7518.0

Points per game (last season)23rd of 6912.5

Trailing PPG (standard)51st of 755.3

Age18th oldest of 7529

Seasons of experience12th most of 757

Days of rest71st of 754

Games played this season1st of 753

Targets per game (trailing)15th of 758.0

Opportunity share (WOPR, trailing)28th of 750.56

Defender cushion (NGS, trailing)63rd of 664.0

Air-yards share (trailing)25th of 7532.5%

Receiving yards per game (trailing)61st of 7532.7

Carries per game (trailing)17th of 750.0

Target share (trailing)31st of 7522.5%

Catch rate (NGS, trailing)58th of 6648.1%

Share of team air yards (NGS, trailing)33rd of 6634.8%

Trailing PPG (PPR)47th of 758.9

Intended air yards (NGS, trailing)19th of 6613.1

Target share (last season)26th of 6922.4%

Rushing yards per game (trailing)14th of 750.0

YAC over expected (NGS, trailing)33rd of 66+0.5

Games played (last season)34th of 6915

Receptions per game (trailing)39th of 753.7

Passing yards per game (trailing)2nd of 750.0

What the model weighed, strongest influence on this projection first (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position's published week-4 rows; on yes/no rows the count is how many of them share that answer. Stats that depend on scoring are shown in PPR.

2026 season

Games played (most recent season)47th of 11415

Two-season points per game30th of 11412.6

Target share (most recent season)27th of 11422.4%

Best 3-game stretch (most recent season)31st of 11418.4

Final 3 games (most recent season)14th of 11414.8

Opportunity share (WOPR, most recent season)22nd of 1140.60

Changed teams90 of 114No

New head coach22 of 114Yes

Team pass efficiency (last season)80th of 114+0.050 EPA/play

New target competition arriving18th of 11452.8%

Worst 3-game stretch (most recent season)33rd of 1146.3

Week-to-week volatility (most recent season)57th of 1146.0

Year-over-year scoring swing89th of 950.3

Snap share (most recent season)9th of 11487.3%

Draft capital55th earliest of 114Round 2, pick 64

Age27th oldest of 11429

Seasons of experience13th most of 1137

On rookie contract52 of 114No

New starting quarterback106 of 114No

Season ended early (last year)107 of 114No

Late-season snap trend76th of 114-0.0

Team pass-rate over expected37th of 114-0.124

Change in team play volume10th of 114+0.0

Change in team pass efficiency14th of 114+0.000 EPA/play

Carries per game (most recent season)44th of 1140.1

What the model weighed, strongest influence on this projection first (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position's published modelled players; on yes/no rows the count is how many of them share that answer. Stats that depend on scoring are shown in PPR.