QB 13

Justin Herbert

QB · LAC · AGE 28

18.9PPG · PPR
−0.2VOR
WEEK 4QB 29 · @ SEA12.4PROJ
Implied team total29th of 3217.8
Total passing EPA per game (trailing)27th of 32-4.2
Games played this season1st of 323
Points per game (last season)10th of 2917.9
Season-to-date PPG (PPR)27th of 3211.3
Opponent implied total10th of 3224.8
Carries per game (trailing)9th of 324.0
Games played (last season)9th of 2916
Passing TDs per game (trailing)23rd of 321.00
Trailing PPG (standard)27th of 3211.3
Age19th oldest of 3228
Seasons of experience18th most of 326
Total rushing EPA per game (trailing)26th of 32-1.2
Rushing yards per game (trailing)11th of 3216.0
Targets per game (trailing)2nd of 320.0
Receptions per game (trailing)2nd of 320.0
Passing yards per game (trailing)19th of 32209.0
Receiving yards per game (trailing)2nd of 320.0
Days of rest4th of 327

What the model weighed, strongest influence on this projection first (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position's published week-4 rows; on yes/no rows the count is how many of them share that answer. Stats that depend on scoring are shown in PPR.

2026 season
Target share (most recent season)10th of 630.0%
Best 3-game stretch (most recent season)10th of 5327.0
Carries per game (most recent season)9th of 635.2
Changed teams56 of 63No
New head coach50 of 63No
Final 3 games (most recent season)8th of 6318.6
Snap share (most recent season)11th of 6396.8%
Two-season points per game11th of 6317.4
Targets per game (most recent season)10th of 630.0
Year-over-year scoring swing42nd of 501.1

What the model weighed, strongest influence on this projection first (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position's published modelled players; on yes/no rows the count is how many of them share that answer. Stats that depend on scoring are shown in PPR.

Projection shown in PPR scoring.

The week’s board, by email. Tuesday evenings. Nothing for sale.

Justin Herbert — QB 13 · FFGuy