QB 14E25

Patrick Mahomes

QB · KC · AGE 31

18.9PPG · PPR
−0.2VOR
WEEK 4QB 4 · @ LV20.2PROJ
Implied team total5th of 3226.0
Points per game (last season)4th of 2920.4
Total passing EPA per game (trailing)8th of 32+8.0
Games played this season1st of 323
Season-to-date PPG (PPR)6th of 3222.2
Age12th oldest of 3231
Seasons of experience11th most of 329
Passing TDs per game (trailing)5th of 322.33
Trailing PPG (standard)6th of 3222.2
Opponent implied total21st of 3221.5
Games played (last season)16th of 2914
Targets per game (trailing)2nd of 320.0
Total rushing EPA per game (trailing)22nd of 32-0.4
Passing yards per game (trailing)5th of 32270.7
Receptions per game (trailing)2nd of 320.0
Carries per game (trailing)14th of 323.3
Rushing yards per game (trailing)12th of 3213.7
Receiving yards per game (trailing)2nd of 320.0
Days of rest4th of 327

What the model weighed, strongest influence on this projection first (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position's published week-4 rows; on yes/no rows the count is how many of them share that answer. Stats that depend on scoring are shown in PPR.

2026 season
Target share (most recent season)6th of 630.2%
Best 3-game stretch (most recent season)4th of 5328.5
Changed teams56 of 63No
Carries per game (most recent season)15th of 634.6
New head coach50 of 63No
Targets per game (most recent season)6th of 630.1
Two-season points per game5th of 6319.0
Final 3 games (most recent season)11th of 6316.3
Snap share (most recent season)8th of 6397.4%
Year-over-year scoring swing29th of 502.7

What the model weighed, strongest influence on this projection first (weights unpublished). Ranks are among the position's published modelled players; on yes/no rows the count is how many of them share that answer. Stats that depend on scoring are shown in PPR.

Projection shown in PPR scoring.

The week’s board, by email. Tuesday evenings. Nothing for sale.

Patrick Mahomes — QB 14 · FFGuy